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Written by Marsela SHYTIA 29 Mars 2023
The war in Ukraine has brought many geopolitical changes, and one of the biggest changes is expected in Eastern Europe. Vucic believes that "in the coming months, the dynamics of relations with Europe will change". "I think this will happen in June, as Ukraine will not win easily in the military sense, it is almost impossible, but I expect it to gain a lot of momentum on the European road. I think that decisions will be made for the immediate start of negotiations and urgent entry into the EU. The Americans are creating a bloc within Europe, a separate bloc that will consist of Poland, the Baltic countries and Ukraine," said Vucic. "If Romania is added to it, then it becomes the most powerful block in Europe and is under the direct influence of America. "The political map will change in Europe," said Vucic.
The president added that the dynamics of Serbian relations with Europe will change in the coming months and he hopes that it will be a positive change. "But there are limiting factors for us, namely the sanctions against Russia and Kosovo and Metohija", concluded Vucic. As he said, America will be dominant and will have the same relations between Europe and the USA towards China. "It is interesting what happened at the session of the Council of Europe, an important change to China, until now it was our economic partner, our competitor and our systematic rival. For the first time, Ursula von der Leyen," said a strategic rival. America will be dominant in Europe. He sees China as a strategic adversary. That is why the visit of von der Leyen and Macron to China will be interesting," said Vucic.
The new block in the east
Military analyst Vlade Radulovic believes only Washington knows what will happen in June, but says there are indeed indications they will form a bloc in eastern Europe. "It is clear that recently Poland is becoming a key country of cooperation for Washington. The basis of this new block could be the idea of ??exiting to three seas: Baltic, Black and Adriatic. In this way, the influence of NATO and the Americans would increase in the east", assesses Radulovic. As he says, Western Europe or above all Great Britain and France have their own challenges, while Eastern Europe is becoming more and more important for the US. He sees this new project of Washington as strengthening the position of the US in Europe. "There is a change in the American attitude towards the east. All Eastern European countries know what it means to be under Russian pressure, from Romania to Slovakia and the Czech Republic to Poland and the Baltic states. Therefore, it is not surprising that it will be the axis of the future strategy in Europe", concludes Radulovic.
Changing the center of gravity
Sre?ko Djukic, the former ambassador of Serbia in Belarus, says that the creation of this bloc is an old idea, the realization of which was accelerated by the beginning of the war in Ukraine. "This is expected. I would say it is not an original American project. This idea appeared a long time ago in terms of strengthening NATO's eastern flank in the face of the Russian threat, even before Russia's aggression against Ukraine. When the "unexpected" happened, that act, everything was accelerated, including the process of strengthening the eastern front of the alliance", says Gjukiq. According to him, the entire Euro-Atlantic geopolitical front is moving eastward. "The center of gravity of the geopolitics of the Euro-Atlantic space is irreversibly shifting towards the East of Europe. Therefore it is not at all strange that on the European continent a redefinition of fundamental relations is taking place and that the center of gravity of our continent is shifting from its center, from Germany and France, to Poland and Ukraine and at the same time to other countries Eastern, formerly members of the Warsaw Pact as well as in the Baltic States and Scandinavia. Those who follow the most basic and objective processes of the reorganization of relations in the space from the Atlantic to the Ural Mountains, Vladivostok, reach similar conclusions", believes Djukic.