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Rajoni

The American expert makes a scary warning: Vucic is a danger to the Balkan region, here's what is expected to happen

The American expert makes a scary warning: Vucic is a danger to the Balkan

President Vu?i?, like Putin, does not want to allow any progress in the region towards the west. Just as Putin fears democracy in his neighborhood, Vucic also fears democracy in the Balkans.

This is what Ivana Stradner, scientific advisor of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy from Washington, said.

"And a form of that hybrid war that he is waging is in Montenegro, and we know these last two years how the role has been polarization in the country itself, the role of the church that has used it for certain security purposes , to instrumentalize and use it, that the country itself becomes further polarized"

Speaking about the protests that were organized in Podgorica on the occasion of the resolution's vote, Stradner says that despite the fact that there were only a few hundred people during the two days of the protest, the messages sent by those gathered were interesting.

"Russia, Serbia were mentioned and all this is part of the further distancing of Montenegro from the West, and the resolution itself is used precisely to put nationalism on a higher level and all this also has a much bigger role . And just then, just like in Belgrade, like those right-wing groups, that President Vu?i? can always say that I am not the worst, the alternative is always worse, unfortunately, I see such a situation in Montenegro, where Belgrade also uses it for its geopolitical moments to say, well, maybe Serbia is not ready, but look at what is happening in Montenegro as well", believes Stradner.

Propaganda as a basic weapon in the current hybrid war

The liturgy before the trip to New York, the wrapping of the Serbian flag during the vote, the motorcades around Belgrade, are just some of the examples of the campaign that Vu?i? wanted to prove to the Serbian people that he would do his best to ensure that the resolution does not get the majority necessary in the UN General Assembly. However, apart from all this, Stradner says that Vucic knew from the moment he left what the outcome would be and that it would not affect his power in the country.

"We must not forget that Vucic was Minister of Information in the Milosevic government and that he is one of the greatest experts in information and psychological warfare in the region. It is part of the informational war that he constantly uses for his domestic audience and for the psychological warfare of his population. Vucic can spin any news in Serbia in such a way that it is accepted as it is. Even after the hearing, he rejected the news, "I did my best, I love Serbia, but we are victims, we are a small country, but everyone is against us", says Stradner.

The resolution warned about the genocide in Jasenovac, which should be included in the parliamentary procedure of the Assembly of Montenegro, which, we recall, twice did not receive the necessary majority in the Serbian parliament for the reason that they did not want to damage the good relations between Serbia and Croatia, have already encountered positive reactions from official Belgrade but also from Vucic.

"Divide and rule is the key to Vucic's hybrid politics and activities in the region," believes Stradner and adds:

"The reason for the hybrid war being carried out in Montenegro by Belgrade, assisted by Moscow, is to do everything possible so that a NATO country that was close to the European Union does not become part of it.

What we have seen for years in Montenegro, unfortunately, we will be able to see in North Macedonia, another NATO country that also has ambitions towards the European Union".

Stradner believes there will be no armed conflicts in the region due to heightened tensions, as is the case in Ukraine, but, he points out, warnings from US intelligence services and other agencies across Europe that ethnic escalation will happen in 2024 should be taken seriously.

"I don't see that there can be a military escalation in Montenegro at this moment, but it is not even necessary because Belgrade with the help of Moscow is doing everything possible without any shots being fired and without the use of weapons that Montenegro becomes part of the Serbian world", she concludes.