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Opinion / Editorial

Russia's future forecasts after the "Putin" wind

Russia's future forecasts after the "Putin" wind

Vladimir Putin and his political wing had imagined the war in Ukraine very easy and a kind of modern "Blitz-Krieg". I say this because tactically Moscow followed the same pattern as Nazi Germany attacked the Soviet Union during World War II. Kiev would fall in the blink of an eye. Zelensky's government would be overthrown very soon and a puppet government would be installed according to the wishes of the Kremlin. But the reality showed that Ukraine was not an easy bite to swallow, because the battles on the front have shown the opposite and they have entered a very intense phase. On the one hand, we have the Ukrainian army, whose morale is extremely high, and Ukrainian soldiers have tremendous confidence in their forces, because the war is taking a turn, which all the Western powers have desired from the beginning. On the other hand, we have the Russian army, whose morale is hitting rock bottom and trust in Russian soldiers is at zero. This is slowly showing that the accounts of Putin, Russian politicians and senior military generals have gone off the rails. This war is likely to last longer than originally thought. So there doesn't seem to be an end in sight at the moment. According to well-known military experts in this field, they see Russia as a loser of the war and strategically it is losing its place in the general international arena. And the most surprising prediction from these experts is that Russia will return to "a developing country". Unbelievable, but the odds lead to this point. Because there are only two alternatives before Russia: First, Russia withdraws in shame, losing to Ukraine, so losing is a way to end the war. Second, Russia must at all costs enter into ceasefire negotiations first and then negotiations to reach a final peace agreement with Ukraine in order not to further aggravate the human losses and the losses of military armaments and the morale of the "famous" army. ” Russian. Because the current situation on the battlefield is showing two different pictures from each other. On the one hand, Russian reserves are running out, because according to them, Russia is losing five tanks and six armored personnel carriers every day, not counting the losses in its military forces. And on the other hand, Ukraine will continue to have large-scale support from the US, EU and other countries. Many international experts predict that Putin and his army will fall in October of this year. Then Russia will become the station, where China will buy the fuel at the cheapest price, until it runs dry, and then China will throw it in the trash (The future will show this view, how true it will be. ) And the end for Putin will be bitter. It will leave Russia with a devastated and totally ruined economy. Popular discontent will peak. There will be great unemployment. But what will be more important and will occupy a very important place is the fact, who will be his political successor. Because the previous precedents in Iraq, Egypt, Libya, etc. have shown that political uncertainty and chaos, post-revolutionary economic and social in these countries continues to this day. There is a civil war in these countries. Countries are divided into zones of influence of different military groups. Therefore, the fear and anxiety about political continuity in Russia in European countries and the USA is extremely strong, because they do not want to repeat previous mistakes. In the worst case, Russia would be gripped by a very fierce internal political and military war, which would lead the country to conflicts and total disintegration. It would also bring civil war between the dozens of different nations currently living in the Russian Federation. The second post-Putin prognosis would be the promotion of a highly trusted person from Putin's inner circle, and Nikolai Patruschew has the greatest opportunities. who is Putin's number 1 influencer, and this is reinforced by the fact that they have both known each other since the 70s, when they were KGB agents, despite the fact that some other names have also been included in the political plate, such as Medvedev, who is seen by Americans and Europeans as the most acceptable, although in his recent statements he is seen as a more radical politician, unlike what he has been and has shown himself to be. We cannot forget the Chechen leader Kadyrov, who dreams of creating a radical Islamist state, the boss of "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigoschin, known as "Putin's chef". But other shadow figures, who have a low political and public profile, are not excluded. However, the biggest prediction is that Patrushev will become the new leader of Russia due to the great leadership experience he has.