The dam explosion alarms the West, this could be Russia's "next target", the war takes an unpredictable direction

The explosion of the Nova Kakhovka dam is more worrisome than Russian President Vladimir Putin and his generals think and could trigger dangerous escalation. This event takes the war in an even more dangerous direction. The military impact is likely to be temporary. Ben Barry, of the International Institute for Strategic Studies, said: “It could prevent soldiers from crossing the river for a few weeks.” “It's hard to say how long. But when the land dries up, Ukraine will be able to cross a river like it did before the flood." The Russians have blamed the Ukrainians for the attack, but most analysts have dismissed the claim. The event helps the Russians by reducing the length of the front line. , allowing him to focus his attention on the east, but not for long. The strike also has ramifications for the Russians, flooding some of the defensive positions they have on the south coast. A disproportionate and irrational action. But that may be the point. Putin knows that blowing up the dam makes him look more dangerous. Now the dilemma is what will Russia do after this. Everywhere in the West, the focus is on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant. The explosion jeopardizes the water supply of its cooling systems. And Russia may aim to sabotage the plant to change the course of the war. But again, any disaster in Zaporizhzhia threatens Russia the most. Prevailing winds would be more likely to carry radiation eastward across the Russian border. What we can say for sure is that this war is once again going in a more unpredictable direction, and the longer it continues, the more likely such strikes will occur.