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Written by Marsela Shytia 14 Nëntor 2023
As the situation in the Middle East is intensifying more and more and threatens to turn into a major regional conflict, with the onset of winter, after the more or less ineffective counterattack of Ukraine, but also the unsuccessful Russian reactions, both in Moscow and in Kiev, are "doing the calculations" for the war of the last six months. In Russia, the election campaign for Vladimir Putin has practically already started, given that the elections are at the end of March 2024 and it is speculated that the presidential elections in Ukraine may also be held on the last day of March. Former Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko and former associate and close advisor of President Volodymyr Zelensky Oleksiy Arestovic insist on this. However, the issue has fueled a conflict between the two most popular people in Ukraine, President Zelensky and the commander of Ukrainian forces, General Valery Zaluzhny. So, both Brussels and Washington are advocating that the elections be held despite the war situation, as an indication of the "strength of democracy" and the Western values ??that Ukraine is fighting for. Even President Zelensky himself seemed to agree, but a few days ago, he said that "now is not the time for elections" and that he would postpone them for the post-war period.
General Zaluzhny said that "the counter-offensive did not achieve the desired results", that "the war has reached a dead end" and that Ukraine should prepare for "strategic defense". Such an attitude provoked criticism, and Volodymyr Zelensky expressed his dissatisfaction with the attitude of the Commander-in-Chief, although he noted that the West is getting "tired" of the war in Ukraine, and the events in the Middle East also affected it. On the other hand, this did not go unnoticed, so Volodymyr Ariev, a close associate of former President Poroshenko, even wrote on Facebook that Zelensky and his Defense Minister, Rustem Umerov, already had an alternative ready, to replaced Zaluzhny. This, in turn, caused concern in the Ukrainian public, because Zaluzhny, like President Zelensky, enjoys great popularity.
Some media outlets even speculated that Zaluzhny, if presidential elections are held, could run against Zelensky, which shook the Ukrainian political scene, because it is believed that this would weaken Ukraine's defense capability and that if the two most important people were to face each other with each other in the elections, in the middle of the war, this would serve Russia. However, Ariev, not long after that, first deleted his post that Zaluzhny was about to be replaced, and then added that "the information about the replacement cannot be confirmed." This only damaged the reputation of Poroshenko, who is already accused of wanting to weaken Ukrainian defenses and cause a rift between Zelensky and Zaluzhny.
Even in Russia, the election process is practically "heating up", so preparations for Putin's fifth term have begun. However, according to the independent Russian portal Meduza, which was declared "undesirable" and a "foreign agency" in Russia, it will only be an incentive to place the main "emphasis" on "Russia's existential struggle against the evil West" , which threatens, as increasingly emphasized in the pro-regime media, "Russian civilization and tradition". Putin's Russia will want to present itself as "the last island of stability and true sovereignty", because, as the commentators of the pro-Kremlin agency RIA Novosti write: "The USA is on the verge of collapse, they are not supporting Ukraine and now they still have to help Israel" and adds: "They are definitely coming to an end." It is interesting that the Russian media does not pay much attention, that is, not as much as would be expected, to the "conflict" mentioned between Zelensky and Zaluzhni, but surprisingly, the Russians, it sounds a little strange, insist on elections in Ukraine. However, this looks more like the usual transparent Kremlin wartime propaganda.