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Bota

From the control of the new president of Russia, to the beheading of the Russian elite, here is who is the powerful man in Moscow who will "shake up" the Kremlin after the elimination of Putin

From the control of the new president of Russia, to the beheading of the Russian

Yevgeny Prigozhin, otherwise known as Vladimir Putin's chef, has always remained in a gray area of ??Russian domestic politics. His name is associated with the activities of the private military company Wagner, which has been fighting for Russia's interests since 2014 in Ukraine, Syria, Libya, and the Central African Republic. His position since the beginning of the war in Ukraine has changed a lot. Group Wagner is emerging as the most capable and combat-ready unit among all Russian troops. According to sources cited by some media, the president is sure that Wagner is successfully fighting this war, and now Prigozhin can be considered "a full representative of Putin's inner circle." According to the Washington Post he was the one who criticized the Russian military leadership in a personal interview with Putin,

The important position of Yevgeny Prigozhin

He has begun to openly criticize the actions of the Ministry of Defense, although he had previously avoided any publicity. Since the summer, in violation of the law, he has openly recruited prisoners from Russian prisons to take part in the war and just as openly warns them that if they desert they will be shot. Also, in October, Prigozhin announced the construction of fortifications on the borders of the "People's Republics of Luhansk and Donetsk", the so-called "Wagner Lines", and also said that he would finance popular resistance in the Kursk and Belgorod regions. Finally, a business center recently opened in St. Petersburg with the name Wagner in large letters, intended for research into "improving Russia's defense capabilities." Prigozhin has made many enemies, but he knows the rules of the game well and understands that now his skills have increased significantly. According to the editor-in-chief of Novaya Gazeta Europa, Kirill Martynov, the businessman would like to make a political career by exploiting this war, trying to lead the enemy party and demonstrating loyalty to Putin. According to Martynov, we are probably already seeing "the beginning of Prigozhin's presidential campaign", for which he still needs Putin's blessing. Apparently he is thinking of creating his own patriotic conservative movement, which will oppose the "elite". According to Meduza's sources, it will be a separate party aimed at ultra-patriotic sectors of society that do not fully support the Kremlin and are critical of officials and businessmen. By the way, according to Bloomberg, Prigozhin has already spooked these elites by calling urgently for a "Stalinist crackdown" against wealthy Russians who "ignore the military situation." In any case, he now behaves much more ambitiously, counting on raising money, establishing himself as Putin's favorite and the main organizer of the military resources on which the fate of the war depends.

Putin, grusht shteti

Megjithatë, Putini është një figurë politike në ikje dhe nuk mund të përjashtohet skenari i një grusht shteti ushtarak , në të cilin po piqet një konflikt i grupeve të ndryshme brenda Rusisë. Vetë qeveria aktuale bën mjaft për ta çuar vendin në kaos, duke anuluar rolin e institucioneve publike dhe duke legalizuar dhunën. Konstantin Sonin, ekonomist dhe profesor në Universitetin e Çikagos, përgjithësisht beson se kolapsi i agjencive të zbatimit të ligjit dhe shfaqja e ushtrive private në vend është një rrugë e drejtpërdrejtë drejt luftës civile. Sipas tij, kompanitë private ushtarake dhe formacione të tjera të armatosura tashmë kanë filluar të zëvendësojnë shtetin në Rusi. Në një situatë të tillë, Prigozhin me strukturën e tij paraushtarake ka në dispozicion një pasuri të rëndësishme. Në skenarin hipotetik "pa Putin" , i cili ende nuk e ka zyrtarizuar vullnetin e tij për të kandiduar sërish në zgjedhjet e 2024, i pyetur nga disa vëzhgues duke pasur parasysh epilogun drejt të cilit po shkon lufta në Ukrainë, kush do të dëshirojë të marrë pushtetin do të jetë në gjendje për të përdorur Prigozhin si aleat. Ai vetë nuk ka gjasa të bëhet president, por ai do të jetë në gjendje të bashkohet me dikë duke i ofruar burimet e tij një prej grupeve të pushtetit. Në fund të fundit, Yevgeny Prigozhin ishte dhe mbetet "ai person që ofron shërbime".

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